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Deloitte: India's FY24 GDP Forecast Up to 7.6-7.8%

"Deloitte: India's FY24 GDP Forecast Up to 7.6-7.8%"


Deloitte, a prominent consultancy firm, has recently adjusted its GDP growth forecast for India in the fiscal year 2024 to a range of 7.6-7.8%, up from its previous estimate of 6.9-7.2%. This upward revision signals an anticipated increase in economic activity and consumer spending.


Joining a chorus of optimism, several global institutions, including the IMF, World Bank, Asian Development Bank, and S&P Global, have also revised their projections upwards for India’s GDP growth in FY24. This collective sentiment underscores the resilience and potential of the Indian economy amidst global uncertainties.


Deloitte's revised forecast offers positive insights into India's post-pandemic economic recovery. It foresees GDP growth rates of around 6.6% in FY25 and 6.75% in FY26, indicating sustained momentum over the medium term.


Driving this outlook are robust government investments in infrastructure, a resurgence in private sector spending, and expectations of a rebound in export activity. Additionally, the prospect of a synchronized global economic recovery in 2025 is expected to further bolster India's economic prospects.


However, despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, particularly concerning inflation and geopolitical uncertainties. Rising food and fuel prices, coupled with above-normal monsoon predictions, pose risks to India’s economic stability.


India continues to maintain its position as the world’s fastest-growing major economy, underscored by robust growth of 8.4% in the December quarter. This growth was fueled by strong performances in sectors such as manufacturing, electricity, and construction.


Recent data from India's National Statistical Office reveals an upward revision of the GDP growth estimate for FY24 from 7.3% to 7.6%, indicating a solid foundation for growth. Furthermore, the RBI’s growth estimate for FY24 stands at 7%, while the International Monetary Fund forecasts it at 6.7%. Moody's, a prominent ratings agency, has even revised its estimate upward from 6.6% to 8%, citing government expenditure and domestic consumption as key drivers.


Looking ahead, sustaining this growth momentum will require continued policy support, strategic investments, and proactive measures to address emerging challenges. By leveraging its strengths and implementing reforms, India can reinforce its position as a dynamic engine of global economic growth.


As stakeholders monitor these developments, agile policymaking and innovative strategies will be crucial to unlocking India’s full economic potential in the years ahead.

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